Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path to $180,000

#BTC

• Technical Strength: Bitcoin trading above key moving averages with positive MACD momentum supports continued bullish outlook
• Institutional Adoption: SpaceX movements, mining share surges, and potential Japanese bank custody signal growing institutional interest
• Supply Dynamics: Significant reduction in illiquid Bitcoin supply combined with whale accumulation creates favorable supply-demand balance

BTC Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Shows Bullish Momentum

Bitcoin is currently trading at $114,516, comfortably above its 20-day moving average of $112,387, indicating sustained bullish momentum. The MACD reading of 4,847 versus its signal line at 4,802 shows positive momentum, though the histogram at 44 suggests the trend may be consolidating. Bitcoin is trading near the upper Bollinger Band at $121,933, which could act as resistance, while the middle band at $112,387 provides support. According to BTCC financial analyst Emma, 'The technical setup suggests Bitcoin is in a strong position, with the price holding above key moving averages and showing positive momentum indicators.'

Market Sentiment: Institutional Moves Fuel Bitcoin Optimism

Recent market developments point to growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin. SpaceX's movement of $133 million in Bitcoin, combined with Bitcoin's illiquid supply dropping by 62,000 BTC, indicates significant accumulation by large holders. The surge in bitcoin mining shares following Jane Street's entry and Japan's FSA potentially allowing banks to custody Bitcoin could unlock substantial institutional capital. BTCC financial analyst Emma notes, 'The combination of whale accumulation, institutional adoption, and regulatory developments creates a fundamentally strong backdrop for Bitcoin's next potential move higher.'

Factors Influencing BTC's Price

SpaceX Moves $133 Million in Bitcoin to New Wallets, Sparking Market Speculation

SpaceX executed a significant Bitcoin transfer late last week, moving 1,215 BTC—valued at approximately $133 million—into newly created wallet addresses. Blockchain analytics firms flagged the transactions on October 24, 2025, though the aerospace company has yet to disclose the rationale behind the movement.

The transfer was split into two portions: 300 BTC ($33 million) and 915 BTC ($100 million). On-chain data reveals the destination addresses are fresh, lacking historical labels on public trackers. The transactions themselves were routine, bearing standard fees and timestamps.

Prior to this activity, SpaceX-associated wallets held roughly 8,285 BTC, worth $914 million when bitcoin traded above $110,000. The firm has a history of large-scale transfers, aligning with a broader trend of corporate Bitcoin holders actively managing their crypto reserves.

Bitcoin’s Illiquid Supply Drops By 62,000 BTC – What’s Behind The Shift?

Bitcoin's liquidity dynamics are undergoing a notable shift as Glassnode reports a 62,000 BTC decline in illiquid supply since mid-October. This movement signals coins re-entering active circulation, testing the market's demand strength amid ongoing volatility.

The cryptocurrency failed to sustain its early October rally, correcting sharply from $126,000 to below $105,000 before stabilizing near $115,000. This price action coincides with changing holder behavior, as historically dormant coins begin moving.

Illiquid supply reductions have previously acted as momentum brakes, as seen in January 2024's 400,000 BTC outflow. The current withdrawal, while smaller, introduces similar market dynamics during a critical resistance test.

Bitcoin Poised for Potential Breakout After Weeks of Consolidation

Bitcoin's price action has remained subdued throughout October following its strong start to the month, defying historical trends of 'Uptober' bullishness. The cryptocurrency now faces a potential turning point as analysts identify patterns suggesting an imminent major move.

Crypto analyst Maartunn highlights Bitcoin's typical 2-4 week consolidation period after sharp declines, noting the current 14-day sideways movement since October's 16% drop. This pattern suggests the market leader may be preparing for its next significant price movement in the coming days.

Market volatility continues to contract, often preceding decisive breakouts. While October appears set to close in the red, the underlying technical setup presents compelling opportunities for traders anticipating Bitcoin's next directional move.

Bitcoin’s Volume Surge Signals Onset of New Crypto Cycle

Bitcoin's recent trading volume surge has drawn significant attention, suggesting the potential start of a new altcoin cycle. The flagship cryptocurrency's momentum is being fueled by aggressive institutional buying, as evidenced by sharp increases in taker-buy volume. Prince Filip of Serbia's public endorsement further underscores Bitcoin's growing institutional appeal.

Market analysts emphasize that volume validates price movements—unlike past false starts, Bitcoin's current rebound above key levels appears sustainable. This liquidity wave typically cascades into altcoins, creating opportunities for high-growth projects. Early buyers are already capitalizing as capital rotates from Bitcoin into undervalued altcoins.

The market is witnessing a classic pattern where Bitcoin leads and altcoins follow. While some projects will outperform, the volume-driven momentum indicates this cycle may have more staying power than previous attempts at sustained rallies.

Smaller Bitcoin Miners Gain Ground Post-Halving as Competition Intensifies

Mid-tier Bitcoin mining firms are closing the gap with industry leaders following the 2024 halving event. Companies like Cipher Mining, HIVE Digital, and Bitdeer have significantly expanded their realized hashrate—a metric reflecting actual onchain performance—after years of infrastructure improvements. This progress narrows their disadvantage against established players such as MARA Holdings, CleanSpark, and Cango.

The Miner Mag's weekly report highlights the rapid scaling of middle-tier public miners, noting their realized hashrate now contributes meaningfully to Bitcoin's total network power. In September alone, top public miners collectively achieved 326 exahashes per second (EH/s), doubling last year's record and accounting for roughly one-third of Bitcoin's total hashrate.

Hashrate distribution is becoming more equitable as operational efficiency trumps sheer scale. The post-halving landscape rewards miners who optimized energy costs and hardware deployment during the bear market, proving that strategic preparation can offset reduced block rewards.

Binance Aims to Challenge Coinbase's U.S. Dominance After CZ's Return

Changpeng Zhao's resurgence in the U.S. crypto market sets the stage for a direct showdown with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong. With a presidential pardon lifting restrictions, CZ is now free to reengage with Binance, the exchange he founded, altering the competitive landscape dramatically.

Binance currently dominates global Bitcoin trading with a 50% share, but its U.S. affiliate lags behind at less than 1%. Meanwhile, Coinbase has entrenched itself in Wall Street and Silicon Valley, leveraging DEEP ties with traditional financial institutions.

CZ's first public statement post-pardon emphasized gratitude and a commitment to advancing crypto in the U.S. His influence in the community remains unparalleled, contrasting sharply with Armstrong's comparatively muted public persona.

Bitcoin Whale Long Position Nears $300M as Market Eyes Next Move

A mysterious Bitcoin whale continues to dominate Leveraged trades, amassing a long position nearing $300 million. The trader's unbroken winning streak raises questions about sustainability in crypto's volatile markets.

Market participants closely monitor the whale's activity as a potential indicator of Bitcoin's next major price movement. Such outsized positions can create Ripple effects across exchanges, influencing both retail and institutional trading strategies.

Bitcoin Mining Shares Surge Following Jane Street’s Strategic Entry

Jane Street Group's recent regulatory filings revealed passive stakes in several public Bitcoin miners, including Bitfarms Ltd., Cipher Mining Inc., and Hut 8 Corp. The disclosures, made on Schedule 13G forms, indicate non-activist positions, sparking a rally in mining stocks. Cipher Mining surged 13% on the day of the announcement, with other miners also posting gains as investors interpreted the MOVE as a vote of confidence.

Market volume for these miners spiked, far exceeding average trading activity. Jane Street, a long-time player in digital asset trading, has built a reputation for liquidity provision and ETF collaboration. Its latest positions underscore growing institutional interest in Bitcoin mining as a viable public market investment.

Capital B Emerges as Bitcoin's Most Underrated Institutional Treasury

In the shadow of headline-grabbing corporate Bitcoin strategies, Capital B is quietly establishing itself as one of the most overlooked institutional treasuries in the BTC space. Despite market volatility and heavy shorting, the firm continues to accumulate Bitcoin per share, demonstrating resilience amid turbulent conditions.

The company recently raised €58 million at a 2.35 mNAV during a market downturn, with backing from prominent players like TOBAM. Its penetration of France's life insurance market and innovation in Bitcoin-denominated convertible bonds position it as a dark horse in institutional crypto adoption.

Analysts argue the market is neglecting Capital B's growing influence on Bitcoin supply dynamics, particularly as US OTC listing delays prevent American retail and institutional investors from accessing its liquidity.

Japan's FSA May Allow Banks to Custody Bitcoin, Potentially Unlocking $12 Trillion

Japan's Financial Services Agency (FSA) is reportedly considering a landmark policy shift that WOULD permit domestic banks to custody and trade Bitcoin. Such a move could catalyze institutional adoption at an unprecedented scale, with analysts estimating access to over $12 trillion in Japanese banking assets. Bitcoin's liquidity structure and trading dynamics would likely undergo significant transformation if this proposal materializes.

The regulatory green light would position Japan alongside progressive jurisdictions like Europe and the United States, effectively establishing Bitcoin as a bank-regulated asset class. Institutional custodial solutions have long been viewed as the critical bridge between cryptocurrencies and traditional finance—this development could accelerate global adoption timelines.

Market observers note renewed interest in compliance-focused altcoins designed for payment utility, as investors position for what may become blockchain's next evolutionary phase. At press time, Bitcoin trades at $108,494.53, reflecting a 2.07% decline.

Bitcoin’s Correlation with Global M2 Liquidity Signals $180K Target, VanEck CEO Says

VanEck CEO Jan Van Eck has projected Bitcoin could reach $180,000 by the end of the current bull run, citing its strengthening correlation with global M2 money supply. The asset manager's research reveals Bitcoin's price movements have mirrored expansions in fiat liquidity since 2014, with a 0.5 correlation coefficient to global M2 growth.

While short-term disruptions like the 2020 COVID crisis or 2025 tariff wars occasionally decouple the relationship, monetary trends remain Bitcoin's dominant macroeconomic driver. The cryptocurrency has appreciated 700-fold since 2013 alongside a doubling of global liquidity from $50 trillion to nearly $100 trillion.

Eurozone M2 supply shows particularly strong explanatory power (r=0.69), underscoring Bitcoin's emergence as a neutral reserve asset during synchronized currency debasement. With Bitcoin now representing roughly 2% of global money, VanEck's analysis suggests further upside as monetary expansion continues.

How High Will BTC Price Go?

Based on current technical indicators and market fundamentals, Bitcoin appears positioned for further upside potential. The technical setup shows Bitcoin trading above key moving averages with positive momentum indicators, while fundamental developments including institutional adoption and supply dynamics support higher price targets.

BTCC financial analyst Emma suggests that 'Given the technical strength and fundamental tailwinds, Bitcoin could challenge the $180,000 level cited by VanEck, though investors should monitor the $121,933 resistance level for potential consolidation.'